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国际金融研究前沿报告(2010—2012年)

来源: 世界经济年鉴2013 >> 研究前沿 作者: 国际金融研究室 浏览次数:32
摘要:  全球金融危机爆发对国际金融学科的研究提出新问题。国内外学界针对国际货币体系改革、国际金融监管改革、资本流动管理、国际收支调节、金融危机与溢出效应、汇率政策、国际银行业和影子银行发展等领域,结合金融危机的形成、爆发和应对,对已有理论进行反思和修正,并从市场新变化出发。针对货币政策与宏观审慎监管相互协调的研究主要集中于两个方面:一是两者结合的必要性和有效性。针对金融危机期间发达经济体产出大幅下跌并在危机后迟迟难以恢复的现象, Hall。在长期内,欧债危机的解决机制已步入正轨,在降低欧元区内部宏观经济失衡的基础上,欧元区会继续推进一体化进程。
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  • 国际金融研究前沿报告(2010—2012年)
    作者: 国际金融研究室

    全球金融危机爆发对国际金融学科的研究提出新问题。国内外学界针对国际货币体系改革、国际金融监管改革、资本流动管理、国际收支调节、金融危机与溢出效应、汇率政策、国际银行业和影子银行发展等领域,结合金融危机的形成、爆发和应对,对已有理论进行反思和修正,并从市场新变化出发,由政策角度讨论了国际金融领域中的重大问题。

    国际货币体系改革

    有关国际货币体系改革文献主要针对国际储备多元化改革、全球流动资产风险评估以及人民币国际化问题展开。

    国际储备多元化改革

    国际储备体系改革的理论依据,主要有三个方面:一是浮动汇率条件下的特里芬难题。Obstfeld(2011)[※注]强调特里芬难题本质上是一个财政问题。在浮动汇率下,各国中央银行倾向于将级别较高的政府债券作为储备资产。这样,对储备资产需求的增长需要具有财政清偿力担保的安全资产的增长,而后者需要储备资产提供国政府不断发行债务。二是全球安全资产供求失衡。IMF(2012a)[※注]全面梳理了全球储备资产的供需变化,认为新兴市场出于预防性需求的储备资产需求不断上升,而在危机中那些本来是储备资产的提供者(央行和金融机构)转变为需求者,对安全资产需求的急剧上升导致流动性瞬间枯竭。而在供给方,主权债级别的降低导致合格的安全资产提供者减少,金融机构的去杠杆化也造成安全资产供给萎缩,这些最终将使安全资产需求大于供给。三是国际储备货币体系多元化的稳定性。Bénassy-Quéré和Pisani-Ferry (2011)[※注]采用效率、稳定性、公平性以及可行性四项指标,比较单极与多极货币储备体系的优劣,他们认为,国际储备体系在从单极向多极过渡时期存在资本流动和汇率波动风险,但从长期来看,多极体系能否实现均衡状态。

  • 世界经济年鉴2013卷

    出版社:中国社会科学出版社

    出版日期:2014-01

    章节:《世界经济年鉴2013》 \  研究前沿

    在原书中阅读
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删除张明、肖立晟:《新兴市场经济体面临短期国际资本流动的易变性分析》,《世界经济黄皮书:2013年世界经济形势分析与预测》,2012。
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